Mining for Retirement Income?
Keep an Eye on the Canary.
With new
highs in the stock market dominating the
financial news, it’s tempting to look away
from the very real and ongoing government
mismanagement that will likely impede a
successful retirement for most Americans.
In a recent blog, “
Broke
in Retirement: This Could be a Stark Reality,”
Managing Editor of the Oxford Club Rachel
Gearhart identifies a real canary in the
coal mine. In the last weeks of 2016, she
points out, the California Public Employees
Retirement System “quietly lowered its
expected rate of return to 7%,” with other
state pension funds likely to follow suit.
The gap between pension obligations and
funding, she reminds us, was 1.3 trillion
dollars last year, but “even if all states
cut their expected rates of return to 7%
right now—forcing states to contribute more
cash to the coffer—we’d still have a 1.2
trillion dollar gap.”
Don’t be fooled—this is not just a state
pensioners’ problem. Every taxpayer will
be tapped to help shore up this gap using
money that might otherwise have gone into
their own 401(k) or into the similarly
strapped federal Social Security program.
Frustrated by similarly dire outlooks in
their national pension system, some decades
ago the Canadian government took action,
removing the bureaucracy from retirement
income. They appointed an investment
board—their equivalent of our social
security administration— that would operate
under a “investment-only
mandate...unencumbered by political agendas
and insulated from political interference in
investment decision making." Gearhart admits
there are “a lot of ‘ifs’” Canada is relying
on to achieve its goals, but clearly,
Canada’s answer to providing retirement
security was to not continue digging for
gold in a government mine.
In the heady days of a market surge, we may
even have false hope that our own personal
investment success will make up for the grim
reality of underfunded pensions and federal
entitlement programs. But federal and state
governments have shown themselves patently
unable or unwilling to act as worthy
custodians off American’s retirement
savings. As Gearhart puts it, “Counting on
the government for your liberty is never a
good idea.
Investors must prepare for the
worst and save for their retirement
privately.”
“Privately,” should not mean going it alone.
With average annual investment return for individuals
managing their own retirement savings ranging from a bleak
-2% to 5%, clearly most of us could use some guidance. But
the first corrective step would seem to stop hoping for
state and federal governments to do the right thing for us
and take control of our retirement savings using any means
at our disposal.
Case in point: While California’s
downgrading of its expectations might be Gearhart’s canary
in the coal mine, perhaps the changing behavior of new
Illinois state employees reflects a more clear message.
According to the most recent study by the
Illinois Policy Institute, more than ever before, those
eligible for the state's retirement plan are choosing the
Self-Managed Option over the traditional pension, signaling an increasing awareness of the
necessity to take control of their retirement future.
—
Kevin L. Coppola, President, Compass Investors, LLC
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